Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.5%
Defensive zone
Drouin 69.0%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Drouin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
46.9% (162)
+1.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
73.2% (56)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
45.8% (24)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.6% (42)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
46.2%
56.9%
P2
43.5%
52.5%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%