Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Paul 50.4% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 73.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 76.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 57.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Drouin
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
53.0% (644)
-4.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
37.5% (24)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.9% (177)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Drouin shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Drouin
Paul
Home
45.8% (24)
52.5% (516)
Away
47.6% (42)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Drouin
Paul
P1
46.2%
47.6%
P2
43.5%
48.4%
P3
52.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%