Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Paul 53.9% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 66.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 75.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Drouin
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
53.1% (710)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.3% (199)
-5.3%
On power play, Paul has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Drouin
Paul
Home
57.9% (57)
56.0% (466)
Away
39.3% (28)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Drouin
Paul
P1
61.8%
57.2%
P2
50.0%
54.9%
P3
36.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%