Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 60.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Drouin
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
56.8% (303)
-4.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Drouin
O'Reilly
Home
57.9% (57)
54.8% (759)
Away
39.3% (28)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Drouin
O'Reilly
P1
61.8%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
36.8%
54.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%