Jonathan Drouin vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 85.3%
Defensive zone
Drouin 72.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 88.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Drouin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
Drouin
O'Reilly
Last 10: Drouin 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
12
8
Drouin
O'Reilly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
14
Drouin
O'Reilly
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
6
Drouin
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
56.2% (15,260)
-12.7%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
58.8% (3,445)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
51.4% (2,811)
-12.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Drouin
O'Reilly
Home
44.0% (1,041)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Drouin
O'Reilly
P1
45.9%
55.6%
P2
42.0%
57.0%
P3
45.0%
55.1%
OT
47.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |