Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-14.8%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 51.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Drouin
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (19)
56.2% (983)
-14.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.5% (254)
-22.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drouin is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Drouin shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Drouin
O'Reilly
Home
46.2% (13)
56.2% (697)
Away
33.3% (9)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Drouin
O'Reilly
P1
42.9%
54.5%
P2
30.0%
55.5%
P3
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
40.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%