Jonathan Marchessault vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 48.4% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 65.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.5%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Last 10: Marchessault 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
3
1
Marchessault
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Marchessault
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Marchessault
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (83)
48.5% (439)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
54.8% (42)
+5.2%
On power play, Marchessault has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marchessault is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Marchessault shoots right. MacKinnon is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Home
45.2% (42)
52.5% (221)
Away
47.8% (46)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Marchessault
MacKinnon
P1
52.9%
50.5%
P2
48.1%
45.5%
P3
37.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
46.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |