Jonathan Marchessault vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.2% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 54.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Marchessault
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (20)
45.5% (1,190)
-25.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marchessault is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Marchessault shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Home
7.1% (14)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.0% (10)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Marchessault
MacKinnon
P1
20.0%
45.3%
P2
40.0%
48.5%
P3
25.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |