Jonathan Marchessault vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 65.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Marchessault
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (54)
44.7% (1,053)
-5.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
36.8% (95)
-36.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marchessault is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Marchessault shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Home
34.3% (35)
49.4% (553)
Away
42.9% (21)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Marchessault
MacKinnon
P1
36.4%
45.3%
P2
33.3%
42.7%
P3
50.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
77.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
37.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%