Jonathan Marchessault vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.5% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 59.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.1%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 57.5%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (93)
45.8% (755)
-1.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
48.3% (60)
-19.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Marchessault is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Marchessault shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Marchessault
MacKinnon
Home
46.2% (65)
49.5% (396)
Away
37.1% (35)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Marchessault
MacKinnon
P1
43.2%
50.2%
P2
44.7%
43.8%
P3
40.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
43.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |