Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.0%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Staal 54.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Horvat
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
56.2% (939)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
66.9% (139)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
43.5% (239)
+3.4%
On power play, Staal has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
58.1% (449)
55.4% (663)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.7% (654)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
59.2%
54.9%
P2
53.1%
55.1%
P3
55.8%
54.0%
OT
55.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |