Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Staal 57.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 60.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
25
(45 meetings)
20
25
Jenner
Staal
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
16
Jenner
Staal
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
3
Jenner
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Jenner
Staal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
57.2% (780)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
71.3% (171)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
45.5% (132)
+6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
57.8% (249)
57.6% (566)
Away
52.9% (297)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
51.8%
55.6%
P2
58.7%
58.5%
P3
56.2%
60.6%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 18, 2021 | OT | 00:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |