Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor Gaudreau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 92.0%
Defensive zone Staal 53.7%
Neutral zone Staal 78.9%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Gaudreau Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Gaudreau Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Staal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Gaudreau Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau Staal
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
56.1% (955)
-11.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
66.9% (142)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
43.0% (242)
-5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +35.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
42.6% (277)
55.4% (663)
Away
42.9% (259)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
43.8%
55.1%
P2
44.8%
54.7%
P3
39.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%
44.5%
42.7%
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
54.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 2, 2026 3 18:31 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 3 16:48 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 3 16:35 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 2 03:22 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 2, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 1 13:24 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 10, 2026 1 18:24 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 10, 2026 1 15:25 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau