Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Hayes 56.3% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Staal
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
56.6% (724)
+2.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.0% (79)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
65.7% (35)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
57.0% (646)
58.0% (405)
Away
59.1% (729)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
55.9%
54.7%
P2
55.4%
55.7%
P3
62.0%
60.2%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%