Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Hayes 51.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Staal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
51.6% (386)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
53.2% (47)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
60.0% (20)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
54.3% (667)
50.5% (200)
Away
54.7% (662)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
56.2%
58.8%
P2
57.0%
49.3%
P3
49.7%
48.0%
OT
68.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |