Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Hayes 42.7% (+19.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Staal
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
31.9% (91)
+24.2%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
64.3% (14)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
0.0% (1)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
55.4% (663)
30.6% (49)
Away
54.4% (676)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
55.1%
22.9%
P2
54.7%
40.0%
P3
53.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.2%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%