Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Hayes 44.1% (+17.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Staal
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
33.3% (81)
+23.9%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
64.3% (14)
+2.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
55.4% (518)
30.6% (49)
Away
55.7% (497)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
53.6%
24.2%
P2
56.6%
43.8%
P3
55.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%