Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
48.9% (894)
+7.7%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
44.8% (134)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
50.0% (10)
+8.1%
On power play, Staal has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
57.7% (735)
52.5% (516)
Away
57.9% (660)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
61.8%
48.2%
P2
55.7%
48.2%
P3
56.1%
48.8%
OT
56.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |