Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 57.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
52.6% (1,124)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
58.4% (344)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
49.2% (193)
-0.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
59.0% (578)
55.5% (816)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
57.1%
51.1%
P2
60.9%
51.6%
P3
55.8%
56.9%
OT
20.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |