Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Staal
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
57.4% (1,010)
+1.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
56.2% (331)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
54.5% (110)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
57.0% (646)
56.4% (734)
Away
59.1% (729)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
55.9%
55.6%
P2
55.4%
62.1%
P3
62.0%
52.4%
OT
70.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |