Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 74.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
5
Staal
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
3
Staal
Draisaitl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
5
Staal
Draisaitl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.7% (923)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
56.1% (244)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
58.6% (29)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
54.3% (667)
55.2% (636)
Away
54.7% (662)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
56.2%
50.8%
P2
57.0%
56.6%
P3
49.7%
54.0%
OT
68.4%
67.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2024 | OT | 02:59 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |