Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 54.9%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 60.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Staal
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Draisaitl
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
52.4% (974)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
59.5% (373)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
61.0% (123)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Staal
Draisaitl
Home
58.3% (705)
54.5% (778)
Away
53.3% (769)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Staal
Draisaitl
P1
54.5%
54.6%
P2
58.2%
56.1%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |