Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 54.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Staal
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Staal
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
56.5% (115)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
100.0% (3)
-46.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
100.0% (2)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Staal
Kastelic
Home
59.0% (578)
54.8% (73)
Away
55.9% (707)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Staal
Kastelic
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
60.9%
62.5%
P3
55.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |