Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.4%). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Staal
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Staal
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
55.4% (345)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.0% (4)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
35.3% (17)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Staal
Kastelic
Home
54.3% (667)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.7% (662)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Staal
Kastelic
P1
56.2%
61.5%
P2
57.0%
52.8%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |