Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Scheifele
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Staal
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
46.5% (878)
+9.6%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
48.3% (174)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
50.0% (54)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
55.4% (663)
46.2% (571)
Away
54.4% (676)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
55.1%
51.9%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
53.9%
43.9%
OT
70.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |