Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 43 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 91-44 in 135 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 95.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
91
-
44
(135 meetings)
91
44
Staal
Scheifele
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
19
Staal
Scheifele
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
36
7
Staal
Scheifele
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
33
18
Staal
Scheifele
51 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.3% (12,036)
+9.6%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.2% (2,563)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.6% (598)
+6.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
55.2%
48.2%
P2
55.9%
45.6%
P3
54.9%
46.8%
OT
56.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |