Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 21-2 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 92.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
2
(23 meetings)
21
2
Staal
Scheifele
Last 10: Staal 10-0 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
0
Staal
Scheifele
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
1
Staal
Scheifele
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Scheifele
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
48.1% (1,045)
+10.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
48.6% (181)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
44.4% (27)
+7.4%
On power play, Staal has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
57.0% (646)
52.7% (630)
Away
59.1% (729)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
55.4%
46.8%
P3
62.0%
47.5%
OT
70.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |