Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Scheifele
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Staal
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
49.3% (649)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
55.7% (183)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
50.0% (16)
-0.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
59.0% (578)
52.3% (440)
Away
55.9% (707)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
57.1%
52.3%
P2
60.9%
50.4%
P3
55.8%
51.4%
OT
20.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |