Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 53.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Scheifele
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
47.8% (960)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
47.0% (219)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
60.7% (28)
-8.6%
On power play, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
58.3% (705)
50.7% (611)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
54.5%
51.4%
P2
58.2%
47.3%
P3
54.1%
45.0%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |