Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Staal
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Staal
Scheifele
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
6
Staal
Scheifele
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
48.7% (981)
+8.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
53.2% (250)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
43.2% (37)
+1.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Staal
Scheifele
Home
54.3% (667)
50.0% (672)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Staal
Scheifele
P1
56.2%
51.4%
P2
57.0%
45.1%
P3
49.7%
51.9%
OT
68.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |