Jordan Staal vs Mason McTavish

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs McTavish 43.3% (+13.4%)
H2H factor McTavish leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone McTavish 52.0%
Defensive zone Staal 63.0%
Neutral zone McTavish 55.9%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Staal McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 7 (14 meetings)
7
7
Staal McTavish
Last 10: Staal 6-4 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Staal McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
3
Staal McTavish
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
42.4% (675)
+13.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
40.5% (42)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
50.0% (8)
+2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +20.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Staal
McTavish
Home
58.3% (705)
41.9% (372)
Away
53.3% (769)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Staal
McTavish
P1
54.5%
47.2%
P2
58.2%
36.2%
P3
54.1%
43.6%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
55.7%
McTavish
46.0%
45.5%
42.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 25, 2023 3 10:15 Defensive Jordan Staal
Feb 25, 2023 3 00:26 Neutral Mason McTavish
Feb 25, 2023 2 14:56 Neutral Jordan Staal
Feb 25, 2023 2 10:26 Offensive Jordan Staal
Feb 25, 2023 2 06:54 Defensive Jordan Staal
Feb 25, 2023 2 03:11 Offensive Mason McTavish
Feb 25, 2023 2 00:43 Offensive Mason McTavish
Feb 25, 2023 2 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Feb 25, 2023 1 19:38 Offensive Mason McTavish
Dec 6, 2022 3 16:02 Defensive Jordan Staal
Dec 6, 2022 2 00:12 Defensive Jordan Staal
Dec 6, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish
Dec 6, 2022 1 03:24 Defensive Mason McTavish
Dec 6, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish