Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs McTavish 50.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Staal
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Staal
McTavish
Last 10: Staal 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
McTavish
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
3
Staal
McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
48.7% (532)
+8.5%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
59.1% (88)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
33.3% (6)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. McTavish is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Staal
McTavish
Home
55.4% (518)
54.8% (303)
Away
55.7% (497)
45.5% (323)
By Period
Staal
McTavish
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
49.5%
P3
55.7%
49.3%
OT
65.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |