Jordan Staal vs Mathew Barzal

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+13.3%)
H2H factor Staal leads 26-11 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 86.1%
Defensive zone Staal 98.4%
Neutral zone Staal 96.8%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Staal Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
26 - 11 (37 meetings)
26
11
Staal Barzal
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
4
Staal Barzal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
5
Staal Barzal
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
2
Staal Barzal
11 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
41.9% (3,565)
+14.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
43.4% (205)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
42.3% (26)
+5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +19.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
56.4% (9,663)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
55.2%
40.7%
P2
55.9%
44.4%
P3
54.9%
41.0%
OT
56.2%
27.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
55.3%
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
42.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 25, 2025 2 14:12 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Mar 19, 2024 2 07:42 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 19, 2024 2 04:14 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 28, 2022 3 17:32 Offensive Jordan Staal
Apr 24, 2022 2 13:49 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Apr 8, 2022 1 12:49 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 14, 2021 3 12:30 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Oct 14, 2021 2 13:37 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Mar 7, 2020 1 14:21 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 7, 2020 1 01:10 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Jan 19, 2020 3 05:49 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 19, 2020 2 16:01 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Jan 19, 2020 1 15:31 Defensive Jordan Staal
Jan 19, 2020 1 08:13 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2019 3 18:16 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Oct 11, 2019 3 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2019 2 19:01 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2019 2 16:52 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2019 2 15:09 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2019 1 14:26 Defensive Mathew Barzal