Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Barzal 46.3% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
43.0% (114)
+15.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
57.0% (646)
35.8% (53)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
55.9%
44.2%
P2
55.4%
38.5%
P3
62.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |