Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Barzal 47.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 79.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Staal
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
42.3% (52)
+14.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
54.3% (667)
28.0% (25)
Away
54.7% (662)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
57.0%
45.8%
P3
49.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |