Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Barzal 41.4% (+15.1%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Staal
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
40.4% (463)
+15.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
34.2% (38)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
28.6% (7)
+14.4%
On power play, Staal has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
55.4% (663)
38.1% (244)
Away
54.4% (676)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
55.1%
46.6%
P2
54.7%
35.7%
P3
53.9%
37.7%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%