Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Barzal 39.3% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 55.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Staal
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
35.0% (283)
+21.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
55.6% (9)
+5.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Staal
Barzal
Home
58.3% (705)
37.0% (138)
Away
53.3% (769)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Staal
Barzal
P1
54.5%
29.5%
P2
58.2%
44.5%
P3
54.1%
31.8%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |