Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Duchene 52.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Staal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
8
(27 meetings)
19
8
Staal
Duchene
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
2
Staal
Duchene
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
4
Staal
Duchene
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
52.6% (1,112)
+3.3%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
56.0% (193)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
49.0% (49)
+1.6%
On power play, Staal has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
57.2% (684)
55.7% (652)
Away
56.0% (654)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
53.0%
51.4%
P2
58.2%
53.9%
P3
58.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |