Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Duchene 55.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Staal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
56.5% (566)
+2.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
61.3% (62)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
22.2% (9)
+29.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
57.0% (646)
56.6% (318)
Away
59.1% (729)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
55.9%
57.2%
P2
55.4%
55.1%
P3
62.0%
55.6%
OT
70.4%
81.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |