Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Staal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
46.9% (162)
+12.0%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
73.2% (56)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
100.0% (2)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
59.0% (578)
58.4% (125)
Away
55.9% (707)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
57.1%
56.9%
P2
60.9%
52.5%
P3
55.8%
51.9%
OT
20.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |