Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Staal
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
53.9% (193)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
49.2% (65)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
100.0% (1)
-47.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Staal
Duchene
Home
58.3% (705)
54.9% (113)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Staal
Duchene
P1
54.5%
54.9%
P2
58.2%
52.7%
P3
54.1%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%