Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Backlund 50.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 86.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Backlund
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
51.1% (1,070)
+4.8%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
50.5% (91)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
45.2% (248)
+5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
57.2% (684)
49.3% (702)
Away
56.0% (654)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
53.0%
46.3%
P2
58.2%
53.8%
P3
58.9%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |