Jordan Staal vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 41 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Backlund 49.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 53-52 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
53
(105 meetings)
52
53
Staal
Backlund
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
20
8
Staal
Backlund
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
27
Staal
Backlund
41 total
Neutral Zone
Even
18
18
Staal
Backlund
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
49.7% (13,231)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
51.5% (1,323)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
43.9% (2,385)
+4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
56.4% (9,518)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
55.1%
48.6%
P2
56.0%
50.3%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
55.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |