Jordan Staal vs Mikael Backlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 41 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Backlund 49.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 53-52 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 56.2%
Defensive zone Backlund 57.7%
Neutral zone Backlund 58.0%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Staal Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
52 - 53 (105 meetings)
52
53
Staal Backlund
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
20
8
Staal Backlund
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
27
Staal Backlund
41 total
Neutral Zone
Even
18
18
Staal Backlund
36 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
49.7% (13,231)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
51.5% (1,323)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
43.9% (2,385)
+4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +11.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
56.4% (9,518)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
55.1%
48.6%
P2
56.0%
50.3%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
55.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%
54.0%
55.4%
Backlund
44.0%
44.0%
49.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 30, 2025 3 16:36 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 3 11:43 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 2 08:51 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 2 04:45 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 2 00:57 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 13:15 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 1 13:08 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 09:42 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 09:00 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 1 08:49 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 3 08:38 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 3 03:47 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 2 17:59 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 2 01:17 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2025 1 18:36 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 1 15:20 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 1 09:02 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 24, 2024 3 04:18 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 24, 2024 1 04:34 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 10, 2024 3 05:12 Neutral Mikael Backlund