Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Backlund 49.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 71.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Staal
Backlund
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
0
Staal
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Staal
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Staal
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
50.1% (891)
+6.0%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
53.1% (64)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
47.8% (278)
-4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
55.4% (663)
48.1% (580)
Away
54.4% (676)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
55.1%
45.1%
P2
54.7%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
70.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |