Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Backlund 50.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
51.9% (1,083)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
51.7% (120)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.3% (183)
+7.8%
On power play, Staal has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
58.3% (705)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.3% (769)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
54.5%
51.4%
P2
58.2%
50.5%
P3
54.1%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |