Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Frost 48.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 51.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Staal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Frost
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
47.4% (426)
+11.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
63.9% (36)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
20.0% (5)
+29.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Staal
Frost
Home
59.0% (578)
51.1% (221)
Away
55.9% (707)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Staal
Frost
P1
57.1%
47.5%
P2
60.9%
52.3%
P3
55.8%
44.7%
OT
20.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |