Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Frost 46.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Staal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Staal
Frost
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
3
Staal
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
2
Staal
Frost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
45.6% (833)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
46.0% (100)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
55.6% (18)
-3.5%
On power play, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Staal
Frost
Home
58.3% (705)
47.0% (440)
Away
53.3% (769)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Staal
Frost
P1
54.5%
42.5%
P2
58.2%
47.9%
P3
54.1%
46.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |