Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Frost 49.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 69.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Staal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Staal
Frost
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
6
Staal
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
4
Staal
Frost
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
48.6% (704)
+10.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
55.7% (115)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
25.0% (4)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Staal
Frost
Home
57.0% (646)
49.9% (399)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Staal
Frost
P1
55.9%
51.2%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
62.0%
42.7%
OT
70.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |