Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Frost 51.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Staal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Staal
Frost
Last 9: Staal 3-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Staal
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
50.3% (825)
+6.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
54.9% (204)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
50.0% (4)
-4.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Staal
Frost
Home
54.3% (667)
50.7% (489)
Away
54.7% (662)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Staal
Frost
P1
56.2%
53.6%
P2
57.0%
47.8%
P3
49.7%
52.0%
OT
68.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | OT | 01:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |