Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.8%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Sturm 55.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Staal
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
56.1% (716)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
67.7% (31)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
51.1% (133)
+1.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Staal
Sturm
Home
58.3% (705)
55.6% (412)
Away
53.3% (769)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Staal
Sturm
P1
54.5%
59.6%
P2
58.2%
52.0%
P3
54.1%
55.5%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |