Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Staal 66.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Staal
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
54.6% (271)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
54.4% (90)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Staal
Sturm
Home
55.4% (663)
53.0% (168)
Away
54.4% (676)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Staal
Sturm
P1
55.1%
58.2%
P2
54.7%
53.2%
P3
53.9%
52.3%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%